Chap.8 Shepsle
Chap.8 Shepsle
Cooperation
231
232 Analyzing Politics
! •
234 Analyzing Politics
.
.
Cooperation 235
1
A utile is a made-up unit of value or utility. All that matters for our purpose
is that more utiles means more value to a person. If it makes it easier, you
may think of the units as thousands of dollars, so that each farmer values
the drained marsh at $2000.
2
That is, there are increasing returns to marsh-draining effort. One person,
working alone, would end up expending 3 utiles of energy, whereas two
working together would jointly expend only 2 utiles.
3
Some readers may recognize this payoff matrix. In game theory it is known
as the Prisoners' Dilemma. Two petty criminals are arrested for a burglary.
If both keep quiet, the district attorney has to release them (payoff of 1
utile). If both squeal they get time in the slammer, but with a plea-bargained
reduction (payoff of O utiles). But if one squeals and the other keeps quiet,
then the squealer is given a reward and the book is thrown at the "squealee"
(payoffs of 2 and -1, respectively). This story yields the same payoff matrix
as Display 8.1, so our analysis will be the same.
Cooperation 237
DISPLAY 8.1
HUME'S MARSH-DRAINING GAME*
* The first number in each cell is the net payoff in utiles to Farmer A; the
second number is the payoff in utiles to Farmer B.
Suppose you are Farmer A (recall that your payoffs are the
left-most number in each cell). If Farmer B chooses to drain
(so we're looking at the left-most column of Display 8.1), then
you get 1 utile if you drain and 2 utiles if you do not. If Far-
mer B chooses not to drain (right column of Display 8.1), then
you get -1 utile if you drain and O utiles if you do not. No mat-
ter what Farmer B does, Farmer A always gets a higher payoff
if he chooses not to drain. The reasoning is precisely the same
if you are Farmer B: No matter what Farmer A does, Farmer B
always gets a higher payoff if he chooses not to drain.
From the perspective of either farmer, there is a double
reason to choose not to drain. First, you do better by not drain-
ing no matter what your counterpart chooses to do. But sec-
ond, and perhaps more psychologically compelling (since you
never trusted your neighbor very much anyhow), precisely be-
cause the same payoff profile holds for your counterpart he is
likely not to drain, making it clearly in your interest not to do
so either. That is, the other guy's incentives reinforce your
own inclination not to drain, and vice versa, ad infinitum.
Each farmer has a "dominant" strategy to be uncooperative,
238 Analyzing Politics
"See David Hme, A Treatise of Human Nature, ed. L.A. Selby-Bigge and P. H.
Nidditch (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1975 [17371). I thank Dr. Mark Yellin for
bringing this to my attention.
'
Cooperation 239
CASE 8.1
THE PARADOX OF COOPERATION:
NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT IN THE COLD
WAR AND CONGRESSIONAL
PORK- BARRELING
SOVIET UNION
Maintain Disarm
UNITED Maintain 0, 0 100, -100
STATES Disarm -100, 100 10, 10
Given their incentives, both countries preferred to main-
tain their forces rather than disarm regardless of the other's
actions. Each side considered unilateral disarmament
equivalent to surrender. The specter of this event, indicated
by the -100 payoff above, prevented the mutually preferred
outcome of bilateral disarmament. The dynamics of the co-
operation game kept the nuclear weapons in place despite
intentions and preferences to the contrary."
Though substantively quite different, the politics of
pork-barreling in the U.S. Congress is theoretically another
instance of the paradox of cooperation. The term "pork-
barrel politics" refers to the appropriation of federal funds
for inefficient projects that benefit individual congressional
districts but offer little benefit to the nation as a whole. The
incentive to engage in pork-barrel politics is the opportu-
nity it affords for legislators to claim credit at election time
for prominent, federally subsidized projects in their dis-
tricts. Pork-barrel politics often centers on agricultural sub-
sidies, defense contracts, and transportation projects. A
$180-million-a-year wool and mohair subsidy, the $31-
billion NASA space station, the mass-transit system in
downtown Buffalo, and the "Big Dig" harbor tunnel con-
necting the city of Boston to its airport have all been ac-
cused of being "pork." Pork-barrel politics has come under
close scrutiny recently as budget pressures force politicians
to reexamine their budget expenditures.
• Interestingly, disarmament has occurred over the last two decades, but it
has not been unilateral and it has not been all or nothing. It has pro-
ceeded, in a sense, in baby steps: ''You get rid of some of your arsenal and
we'll get rid of some of ours." The result has been a reduction in nuclear
weapon stockpiles but not their elimination.
Cooperation 241
6 Robert Alexrod, The Euolution of Cooperation (New York: Basic Books, 1984 .
An earlier and highly influential analysis is Michael Taylor, Anarchy and
Cooperation (New York: Wiley, 1976).
Cooperation 245
ALTERNATIVE MECHANISMS
INDUCING COOPERATION
I. Internalized Values
As strongly as I believe that rational responses to ongoing
relationships are responsible for quite a lot of the cooper-
ative dividends most of us realize in everyday life, they
clearly aren't the only thing going. Let us look briefly at some
alternatives.
People do, in fact, internalize values that dispose them to
cooperate, if only to cause them to be "nice" at a first en-
counter so that reciprocal norms might develop. But this does
not account for why one set of moral or religious principles
rather than another is internalized. Moreover, we observe
7 This situation is nicely analyzed in Avinash Dixit and Barry Nalebuff, Thinh-
ing Strategically (New York: Norton, 1991), Chapter 9. For the interested
reader, this volume is perhaps the most accessible, and certainly the most
delightful, book on game theory available.
246 Analyzing Politics
8 Clearly, the larger society would be better served if the two prisoners were
not able to capture the dividends of cooperation. But that is not our concern
here; we want to remain neutral for the time being about whether the coop·
eration we're investigating is good or bad in some broader sense.
Cooperation 247
DISPLAY 8.2
THE MAFIOSO (NON) DILEMMA*
9
In a sense, though, there may not be a clear distinction between these two
mechanisms all the time. In the presence of external enforcement, individ-
uals will often take this fact on board and act as though they had internalized
some value. In effect, they have anticipated the external sanction that would
be forthcoming and have avoided it in advance by displaying proper behavior.
Cooperation 249
tions) or she may claim that the guarantee does not cover
what the buyer complains about. ("In the fine print we said
only the left widget wouldn't fail, not the right widget.") But if
the incentives for the seller to renege are strong, then the
buyer will probably anticipate that the guarantee is "not
worth the paper it's written on." Thus, guarantees, by them-
selves, may not do the trick.
If, however, a guarantee were enforceable because there
existed a third party prepared to make the guarantor deliver
on her promise, then a buyer might well be prepared to make
the purchase. Both the buyer and the seller would be pleased
by the existence of this enforcement institution. Coercing her
to deliver on her promise makes the seller's promise credible.
It is the credibility of her promise that induces the buyer to
buy, after all. So, the institution of thirdparty enforcement al-
lows cooperation (Buyer: "I'll buy your product." Seller: "I'll
guarantee its quality."). The absence of this exogenous en-
forcement institution makes both buyer and seller worse off.'?
In the Mafioso Dilemma, for example, imagine the payoffs
are as they originally were in Display 8.1. Mafioso A says to
mafioso B, "I won't squeal." Mafioso B says to mafioso A, "Nei-
ther will I." These promises are credible because there is a
third-party enforcer, Don Corleone, who imposes sanctions on
those who break their promises. The presence of Don Corleone
effectively transforms Display 8.1 into Display 8.2. What is es-
pecially interesting in this instance is that as long as mafioso
A and mafioso B believe they are playing the game in Display
8.2, the Don never has to display his might. Indeed, to those
ignorant of the Don's existence, the two prisoners might be
thought simply to be honest men who keep their promises! Al-
10 A buyer may still buy under these circumstances, but because the seller
cannot credibly commit to honor her guarantee, the buyer will require a
break on the price. This difference between the price a buyer would pay
under a fully enforceable guarantee and one that is not enforceable is, in
effect, the insurance premium the buyer requires.
250 Analyzing Politics
let his brother-in-law off for speeding but nail the town's "radi-
cal lawyer" who has been such a nuisance to the police depart-
ment? . Who would doubt that the rabbi, the third-party
enforcer in the little Polish villages that the Nobel laureate
Isaac Bashevis Singer wrote about, would make sure that his
own son got small advantages in village life? What is to pre-
vent a future black government in South Africa from stifling
dissent within the white community? In short, while many
communities-ranging from small-town America to villages in
eastern Europe to the national community in South Africa-
rely on institutions of third-party enforcement, all are vulnera-
ble to difficulties arising from inappropriate incentives. The
traffic officer above responds not only to his official responsibil-
ities but also wants to keep his wife out of his hair and his bud-
dies in the department off his case. We all look after our own.
That third-party enforcers may march to their own drum-
mers is especially troubling when it is offered, as it was by
Hobbes, as a solution to disorder in the state of nature. Third-
party enforcement is often offered as a rationale for the very
existence of the state. The state is seen as the community's
mechanism, first and foremost, for allowing its citizens to
avoid wasting their resources on their own protection and,
more generally, for permitting cooperation to occur. The state,
with its monopoly of force, empowers state officials not only
to provide the assurances that permit cooperation to take
place among citizens but also to use that force for their own
purposes.12 But, as the saying goes, "Who will guard the
guardians?" Until one can be satisfied that the incentive prob-
lem for third-party enforcers is resolved, one should not em-
brace this solution.
12
The incentives-of-enforcers problem is demonstrated vividly by the case of
New York City's parking meters. According to Road and Track (June 1994.
p. 15), half of all of the city's parking-meter change collectors were charged
with stealing over $1 million from their collections.
Cooperation 253
PRELIMINARY CONCLUSION
EXPERIMENTAL CORNER
Hunter B:
Hunter A: Stag Hare
Stag 3, 3 0, 1
Hare 1, 0 1, 1
• A's payoff is the left number in each cell; B's is the right number.
Cooperation 261
Friend B:
Friend A Basketball Movies
Basketball 3, 1 0, 0
Movies I 0,0 1, 3
I
I,