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Chapter 9 - Payout Policy (Compatibility Mode)

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
57 views

Chapter 9 - Payout Policy (Compatibility Mode)

Uploaded by

Hanh Tran
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 17

Principles of

Chapter 9 Corporate Finance


Tenth Edition

Payout Policy

Slides by
Matthew Will

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

9-2

Topics Covered
 Facts About Payout
 How Firms Pay Dividends and Repurchase
Stock
 How Do Companies Decide on Payouts?
 Information in Dividends and Stock
Repurchases
 The Payout Controversy
 The Rightists
 Taxes and the Radical Left
 The Middle of the Roaders
9-3

Payout Policies

9-4

Dividend & Stock Repurchases


U.S. Data 1980 - 2008
1200
1000
Dividends Repurchases Remaining earnings
800
600
$ Billions

400
200
0
-200
-400
-600
-800
80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

96

98

00

02

04

06

08
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

20

20

20

20

20
9-5

Dividend Payments

April 15, 2009 May 11, 2009 May 13, 2009 June 10,
2009
Exxon Mobil Dividend will be Dividend checks
declares regular Shares start to paid are mailed
quarterly trade ex to shareholders to shareholders.
dividend dividend. registered
of $.42 per on this date.
Declaration
share. Ex-dividend Record Payment
Date Date Date Date

9-6

Types of Dividends
Cash Dividend
Regular Cash Dividend
Special Cash Dividend
Stock Dividend
Stock Repurchase (4 methods)
1. Buy shares on the market
2. Tender Offer to Shareholders
3. Dutch Auction
4. Private Negotiation (Green Mail)
9-7

Dividend Payments

Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the


firm to its shareholders.

Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines


whether a stockholder is entitled to a
dividend payment; anyone holding stock
before this date is entitled to a dividend.

Record Date - Person who owns stock on


this date received the dividend.

9-8

Dividend Payments

Stock Dividend - Distribution of


additional shares to a firm’s
stockholders.

Stock Splits - Issue of additional


shares to firm’s stockholders.

Stock Repurchase - Firm buys back


stock from its shareholders.
9-9

The Payout Decision


Dividend Decision Survey (2004)

The cost of external capital is lower than the cost of a


dividend cut

Rather than reducing dividends we would raise new funds


to undertake a profitable project

We consider the change in the dividend

We are reluctant to make a change that may have to be


reversed

We look at the current dividend level

We try to maintain a smooth dividend stream

We try to avoid reducing the dividend

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Executives who agree or strongly agree (%)

9-10

The Payout Decision


Lintner’s “Stylized Facts,”
as updated by Brav, Graham, Harvey, Michaely (2004)

1. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that may have


to be reversed. They are particularly worried about having to
rescind a dividend increase and, if necessary, would choose to
raise new funds to maintain the payout.
2. To avoid the risk of a reduction in payout, managers smooth”
dividends. Consequently, dividend changes follow shifts in long-
run sustainable earnings. Transitory earnings changes are
unlikely to affect dividend payouts.
3. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute
levels. Thus paying a $2.00 dividend is an important financial
decision if last year’s dividend was $1.00, but no big deal if last
year’s dividend was $2.00.
9-11

Information in Payouts
 Dividends and stock repurchase decisions
contain information
 The information contained in the decisions
varies
 Asymmetric information may be conveyed
 Dividend increases could mean overpriced
stock or increased future profits
 The signal varies based on prior information
about the company

9-12

Information in Payouts
Attitudes concerning dividend targets
vary
DIV1  target dividend
 target ratio  EPS1

Dividend Change
DIV1 - DIV0  target change
 target ratio  EPS1 - DIV0
9-13

Information in Payouts
Dividend changes confirm the following

DIV1 - DIV0  adjustment rate  target change


 adjustment rate  target ratio  EPS1 - DIV0 

9-14

Dividend Policy
Impact of Dividend Changes on EPS
Change EPS/Price at t = 0 as %

15

10

-5
Div Rise
Div Cut
-10

-15
Year
Source: Healy & Palepu (1988)
9-15

Dividend Policy
Before After
Dividend Dividend

New
stockholder
Total value of firm

Each share s
worth this
before … … and
worth
this
after Old
stockholder
s

Total Total
number of number of
shares shares
Example of 1/3rd of worth paid as dividend and raising money via
new shares

9-16

Dividend Policy

Dividend No dividend, no
financed by stock stock issue
issue
New stockholders New stockholders
Shares
Cash

Firm Cash Shares

Cash
Old stockholders Old stockholders
9-17

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant


Since investors do not need dividends
to convert shares to cash they will not
pay higher prices for firms with higher
dividend payouts. In other words,
dividend policy will have no impact on
the value of the firm.

9-18

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant


Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but
declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current
investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following
balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not
altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date
Cash 1,000
Asset Value 9,000
Total Value 10,000 +
New Proj NPV 2,000
# of Shares 1,000
price/share $12
9-19

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant


Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but
declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current
investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following
balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not
altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date Pmt Date


Cash 1,000 0
Asset Value 9,000 9,000
Total Value 10,000 + 9,000
New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000
# of Shares 1,000 1,000
price/share $12 $11

9-20

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant


Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but
declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current
investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following
balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not
altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date Pmt Date Post Pmt


Cash 1,000 0 1,000 (91 sh @ $11)
Asset Value 9,000 9,000 9,000
Total Value 10,000 + 9,000 10,000
New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000 2,000
# of Shares 1,000 1,000 1,091
price/share $12 $11 $11
NEW SHARES ARE ISSUED
9-21

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

Record
Stock 12,000
Cash 0

Total Value 12,000

Stock = 1,000 sh @ $12 = 12,000

9-22

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

Record Pmt
Stock 12,000 11,000

Cash 0 1,000

Total Value 12,000 12,000

Stock = 1,000sh @ $11 = 11,000


9-23

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

Record Pmt
Post
Stock 12,000 11,000
12,000
Cash 0 1,000 0

Total Value 12,000 12,000


12,000

Stock = 1,091sh @ $115 = 12,000


 Assume stockholders purchase the new issue with the

9-24

Dividend Theories
Leftists (M&M) - Dividend does not effect value

Rightists - Dividends increase value

Middle of the roaders - Leftist theory with some


reality thrown in.

Residual Dividend Policy


9-25

Dividends Increase Value

Market Imperfections and Clientele Effect


There are natural clients for high-payout
stocks, but it does not follow that any
particular firm can benefit by increasing its
dividends. The high dividend clientele
already have plenty of high dividend stock to
choose from.

These clients increase the price of the stock


through their demand for a dividend paying
stock.

9-26

Dividends Increase Value

Dividends as Signals
Dividend increases send good news about
cash flows and earnings. Dividend cuts send
bad news.

Because a high dividend payout policy will be


costly to firms that do not have the cash flow
to support it, dividend increases signal a
company’s good fortune and its manager’s
confidence in future cash flows.
9-27

Dividends Decrease Value

Tax Consequences
Companies can convert dividends into capital
gains by shifting their dividend policies. If
dividends are taxed more heavily than capital
gains, taxpaying investors should welcome
such a move and value the firm more
favorably.

In such a tax environment, the total cash flow


retained by the firm and/or held by
shareholders will be higher than if dividends
are paid.

9-28

Taxes and Dividend Policy


Since capital gains are taxed at a lower
rate than dividend income, companies
should pay the lowest dividend possible.
Dividend policy should adjust to
changes in the tax code.
9-29

Taxes and Dividend Policy

Firm A Firm B
(no dividend) (high dividend)
Next year's price 112.50 102.50
Dividend 0 10
Total pretax payoff 112.50 112.50
Today' s stock price 100 97.78
Capital gain 12.50 4.72
12.5 14.72
Pretax rate of return (%) 100  100  12.5 97.78  100  15.05
Tax on div @ 50% 0 .40  10  4.00
Tax on Cap Gain @ 20% .20  12.50  2.50 .20  4.72  0.94
Total After Tax income
(0  12.50)  2.50  10 (10  4.72)  ( 4  0.94)  9.78
(div  cap gain - taxes)
10 9.78
After tax rate of return (%) 100  100  10.0 97.78  100  10.0

9-30

Taxes and Dividend Policy


In U.S., shareholders are taxed twice (figures in dollars)

Cash Flow

Operating Income 100.00


Corporate tax at 35% 35.00
After Tax income (paid as div) 65.00
Income tax paid by investors at 15.0% 9.75
Cash to Shareholder 55.25
9-31

Taxes and Dividend Policy


Under imputed tax systems, such as that in Australia,
Shareholders receive a tax credit for the corporate tax the firm
pays (figures in Australian dollars)

Rate of Income tax

15% 30% 47%


Operating Income 100 100 100
Corporate tax (Tc=.30) 30 30 30
After Tax income 70 70 70

Grossed up Dividend 100 100 100


Income tax 15 30 47
Tax credit for Corp Pmt -30 -30 -30
Tax due from shareholder -15 0 17
Cash to Shareholder 85 70 53

16-32

Dividend Theories

Residual Dividend Policy

MRI = IRR

12 % COC

QTY $$$
9-33

Web Resources
Click to access web sites
Internet connection required

www.earnings.com
www.ex-dividend.com
www.dripcentral.com

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