Chapter 9 - Payout Policy (Compatibility Mode)
Chapter 9 - Payout Policy (Compatibility Mode)
Payout Policy
Slides by
Matthew Will
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
9-2
Topics Covered
Facts About Payout
How Firms Pay Dividends and Repurchase
Stock
How Do Companies Decide on Payouts?
Information in Dividends and Stock
Repurchases
The Payout Controversy
The Rightists
Taxes and the Radical Left
The Middle of the Roaders
9-3
Payout Policies
9-4
400
200
0
-200
-400
-600
-800
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
06
08
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
9-5
Dividend Payments
April 15, 2009 May 11, 2009 May 13, 2009 June 10,
2009
Exxon Mobil Dividend will be Dividend checks
declares regular Shares start to paid are mailed
quarterly trade ex to shareholders to shareholders.
dividend dividend. registered
of $.42 per on this date.
Declaration
share. Ex-dividend Record Payment
Date Date Date Date
9-6
Types of Dividends
Cash Dividend
Regular Cash Dividend
Special Cash Dividend
Stock Dividend
Stock Repurchase (4 methods)
1. Buy shares on the market
2. Tender Offer to Shareholders
3. Dutch Auction
4. Private Negotiation (Green Mail)
9-7
Dividend Payments
9-8
Dividend Payments
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
9-10
Information in Payouts
Dividends and stock repurchase decisions
contain information
The information contained in the decisions
varies
Asymmetric information may be conveyed
Dividend increases could mean overpriced
stock or increased future profits
The signal varies based on prior information
about the company
9-12
Information in Payouts
Attitudes concerning dividend targets
vary
DIV1 target dividend
target ratio EPS1
Dividend Change
DIV1 - DIV0 target change
target ratio EPS1 - DIV0
9-13
Information in Payouts
Dividend changes confirm the following
9-14
Dividend Policy
Impact of Dividend Changes on EPS
Change EPS/Price at t = 0 as %
15
10
-5
Div Rise
Div Cut
-10
-15
Year
Source: Healy & Palepu (1988)
9-15
Dividend Policy
Before After
Dividend Dividend
New
stockholder
Total value of firm
Each share s
worth this
before … … and
worth
this
after Old
stockholder
s
Total Total
number of number of
shares shares
Example of 1/3rd of worth paid as dividend and raising money via
new shares
9-16
Dividend Policy
Dividend No dividend, no
financed by stock stock issue
issue
New stockholders New stockholders
Shares
Cash
Cash
Old stockholders Old stockholders
9-17
9-18
Record Date
Cash 1,000
Asset Value 9,000
Total Value 10,000 +
New Proj NPV 2,000
# of Shares 1,000
price/share $12
9-19
9-20
Record
Stock 12,000
Cash 0
9-22
Record Pmt
Stock 12,000 11,000
Cash 0 1,000
Record Pmt
Post
Stock 12,000 11,000
12,000
Cash 0 1,000 0
9-24
Dividend Theories
Leftists (M&M) - Dividend does not effect value
9-26
Dividends as Signals
Dividend increases send good news about
cash flows and earnings. Dividend cuts send
bad news.
Tax Consequences
Companies can convert dividends into capital
gains by shifting their dividend policies. If
dividends are taxed more heavily than capital
gains, taxpaying investors should welcome
such a move and value the firm more
favorably.
9-28
Firm A Firm B
(no dividend) (high dividend)
Next year's price 112.50 102.50
Dividend 0 10
Total pretax payoff 112.50 112.50
Today' s stock price 100 97.78
Capital gain 12.50 4.72
12.5 14.72
Pretax rate of return (%) 100 100 12.5 97.78 100 15.05
Tax on div @ 50% 0 .40 10 4.00
Tax on Cap Gain @ 20% .20 12.50 2.50 .20 4.72 0.94
Total After Tax income
(0 12.50) 2.50 10 (10 4.72) ( 4 0.94) 9.78
(div cap gain - taxes)
10 9.78
After tax rate of return (%) 100 100 10.0 97.78 100 10.0
9-30
Cash Flow
16-32
Dividend Theories
MRI = IRR
12 % COC
QTY $$$
9-33
Web Resources
Click to access web sites
Internet connection required
www.earnings.com
www.ex-dividend.com
www.dripcentral.com