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The Line of Best Fit: LESSON 19.2

The document discusses drawing the line of best fit on a scatter plot including correctly testing the significance of a correlation coefficient, finding the regression line of two variables, and performing regression analysis. It provides examples and activities to help students understand key concepts like the scatter plot, testing significance, and the regression line. The document also defines terms like the coefficient of determination and how it can be used to measure how well a regression line represents given data.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
46 views29 pages

The Line of Best Fit: LESSON 19.2

The document discusses drawing the line of best fit on a scatter plot including correctly testing the significance of a correlation coefficient, finding the regression line of two variables, and performing regression analysis. It provides examples and activities to help students understand key concepts like the scatter plot, testing significance, and the regression line. The document also defines terms like the coefficient of determination and how it can be used to measure how well a regression line represents given data.

Uploaded by

Tin Cabos
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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\

Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

LESSON 19.2
The Line of Best Fit
Table of Contents

Learning Competency 1
Learning Objectives 1
Essential Questions 2
Prerequisite Skills and Topics 2
Lesson Proper 3
A. Introduction to the Lesson 3
B. Discussion 6
C. Practice & Feedback 14
Performance Assessment 22
Worksheet Answer Key 23
Synthesis 27
Bibliography 27
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Unit 19 | The Regression Line

Lesson 2: The Line of Best Fit

Learning Competency
At the end of the lesson, the learners should be able to draw the best-fit line on
a scatter plot.

Learning Objectives
At the end of this lesson, the learners should be able to do the following:

● Correctly test the significance of a correlation coefficient.

● Accurately find the regression line of two variables.

● Correctly perform regression analysis.

1
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Essential Questions

At the end of this lesson, the student should be able to answer the following questions:
● How does the coefficient of determination help us in using the regression line?
● How can you make use of the regression line of two variables if the correlation
coefficient is not significant?

Prerequisite Skills and Topics


Skills:
● Understanding the equation of a line
● Performing a test of the hypothesis

Topics:
● Math 8 Unit 3: Linear Equations | Lesson 3: Slope of a Line
● Math 8 Unit 3: Linear Equations | Lesson 4: Writing Linear Equations in Standard
and Slope-Intercept Form
● Math 8 Unit 3: Linear Equations | Lesson 5: Graphing Linear Equations
● Math 10 Unit 21: Research Design | Lesson 2: Basics of Data Collection
● Math 10 Unit 21: Research Design | Lesson 4: Data Analysis

2
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Lesson Proper

A. Introduction to the Lesson


Suggested Warm-up Activities
Choose from any of the following warm-up activities. These warm-up activities should
either stimulate recall of the previous lesson or introduce the lesson and not already
used in the study guide.

Activity 1: Compare the Pair


This activity will allow students to recall direct and indirect relationships between two
variables.

Duration: 5 minutes

Methodology:
1. Present a pair of concepts (e.g., travel time and distance).
2. Ask the students to stand if the given concepts have a direct proportion.
3. Call volunteers to explain their answers.
4. Present another pair of concepts. Continue in this manner as many times as
desired.

Expected Results:
Sample results:
travel time and distance: direct proportion
The longer the travel time, the farther the distance traveled.

3
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

savings and expenses: indirect proportion


More expenses mean fewer savings.
Fewer expenses mean more savings.

Guide Questions:
1. What are other common examples involving direct proportion? Indirect
proportion?
2. Can the relationship between dependent and independent variables be both
direct and indirect? Cite examples.
3. How can proportions illustrate the relationship between two variables?

Activity 2: Graph That


This activity will challenge the students to draw a line and find its slope.

Duration: 10 minutes

Materials Needed: manila paper, marker.

Methodology:
1. Divide the class into four groups.
2. Give the following sets of coordinates.
Groups 1 and 3: {(0,1), (1,3), (−1, −1)}
Groups 2 and 4: {(−2,3), (1, −1), (4, −5)}
3. Ask each group to graph the points and determine the slope of the line
formed.
4. Let a representative from each group briefly present their work.

4
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Expected Results:
Groups 1 and 3:

Slope: 2

Groups 2 and 4:

4
Slope: − 3

Guide Questions:
1. How do you define the slope of a line?
2. How do you find the slope of a line?
3. What is the relationship between the two variables if they have a negative
slope? Positive slope?

5
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Teacher’s Notes
To help better gauge students’ readiness for this lesson, you may assign the short test
given in the Test Your Prerequisite Skills section of the corresponding study guide.

B. Discussion

1. Define and Discover

Teacher’s Notes
You may use the Learn about It! Slides in the presentation file to discuss the following
key concepts and examples. Make sure to address student questions before jumping
from one concept to another.

• Scatter Plot – a diagram that uses coordinates to show values for two
variables

Example:
The diagram below is an example of a scatter plot.

10

6
Y
4

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
X

6
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

• Testing the Significance of the Correlation Coefficient


To test whether a correlation coefficient is significant, we solve the test statistic
given by

𝑛−2
𝑡 = 𝑟√ ,
1 − 𝑟2

where 𝑟 is the correlation coefficient, and 𝑛 is the sample size.

Then, we compare 𝑡 to the critical values obtained from the 𝑡-table using the
significance level 𝛼 and the degrees of freedom 𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛 − 2.

• Line of Best Fit or the Regression Line – a straight line that best represents
the data on a scatter plot

This is used to make predictions on the basis of the data. In a regression


analysis, the correlation coefficient should first be tested for significance. The
regression line follows the form 𝑌 = 𝑏𝑋 + 𝑎, where 𝑎 and 𝑏 are computed as
follows:

(∑𝑌)(∑𝑋 2 ) − (∑𝑋)(∑𝑋𝑌)
𝑎=
𝑛(∑𝑋 2 ) − (∑𝑋)2

𝑛(∑𝑋𝑌) − (∑𝑋)(∑𝑌)
𝑏=
𝑛(∑𝑋 2 ) − (∑𝑋)2

7
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Example:
The line of best fit of the scatter plot above is shown below.

10

6
Y
4

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
X

• Coefficient of Determination – used to measure how well a regression line


represents a given data

This is the square of the correlation coefficient, which is 𝑟 2 . This coefficient is


used to explain the extent to which the variability of one variable can be
explained by the other variable.

Example:
If the value of the correlation coefficient is 𝑟 = 0.86, we can solve the coefficient
of determination by taking its square.

𝑟 2 = (0.86)2
𝑟 2 = 0.7396

8
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

2. Develop and Demonstrate

Example 1
The correlation coefficient 𝑟 between an independent variable 𝑋 and a dependent
variable 𝑌 is 𝑟 = 0.65. Determine how a value of 𝑌 can be predicted from the value of
𝑋 in the regression line.

Solution:
To determine how certain we can predict the dependent variable from the
independent variable, we obtain the coefficient of determination. Since the value of
the correlation coefficient is 𝑟 = 0.65, we can solve the coefficient of determination by
taking its square.

𝑟 2 = (0.65)2
𝑟 2 = 0.4225

Therefore, there is a 42.25% certainty that we can predict the correct value of 𝑌 from
a given value of 𝑋 using the regression line.

Example 2
Test the significance of the correlation coefficient 𝑟 = 0.24 of an independent variable
𝑋 and a dependent variable 𝑌 at 𝛼 = 0.05. The sample size is 𝑛 = 20.

Solution:
1. State the null and the alternative hypotheses.

𝐻0 : There is no significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

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Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

𝐻𝐴 : There is a significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

2. State the decision rule.

The test is two-tailed. Since 𝑛 = 20, we have

𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛 − 2
= 20 − 2
= 18.

Using 𝑑𝑓 = 18, we obtain the critical values using the 𝑡-table. At 𝛼 = 0.05, the
critical values are ±2.101. Thus, the rejection region lies at 𝑡 > 2.101 or 𝑡 < −2.101.

3. Solve for the test statistic value.

𝑛−2
𝑡 = 𝑟√
1 − 𝑟2

20 − 2
𝑡 = (0.24)√
1 − (0.24)2

𝑡 = 1.049

4. Make the decision.

Since 𝑡 = 1.049 < 2.101, it does not lie in the rejection region. Thus, we fail to
reject 𝐻0 .

10
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

5. State the conclusion.

There is no significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and the


dependent variable 𝑌.

Example 3
Perform a regression analysis on the following data at 𝛼 = 0.2. Assume that 𝑋 is the
independent variable and 𝑌 is the dependent variable.

Solution:
1. Determine the dependent and the independent variables.

It is given that 𝑋 is the independent variable and 𝑌 is the dependent variable.

2. Solve for the correlation coefficient 𝑟.

Use the formula to solve for 𝑟.

𝑿 𝒀 𝑿𝟐 𝒀𝟐 𝑿𝒀
21 12 441 144 252
20 14 400 196 280
29 17 841 289 493
21 15 441 225 315
24 18 576 324 432
19 17 361 289 323
27 18 729 324 486
25 17 625 289 425

11
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

∑𝑋 ∑𝑌 ∑𝑋 2 ∑𝑌 2 ∑𝑋𝑌
= 186 = 128 = 4 414 = 2 080 = 3 006

𝑛∑𝑋𝑌 − (∑𝑋)(∑𝑌)
𝑟=
√[𝑛∑𝑋 2 − (∑𝑋)2 ][𝑛∑𝑌 2 − (∑𝑌)2 ]
8 ⋅ 3 006 − (186)(128)
𝑟=
√[8 ⋅ 4 414 − (186)2 ][8 ⋅ 2 080 − (128)2 ]
𝑟 = 0.561

Thus, the correlation coefficient 𝑟 is 0.561.

3. Test the significance of the correlation coefficient.

Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses.

𝐻0 : There is no significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

𝐻𝐴 : There is a significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

Since 𝑛 = 8, we have 𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛 − 2 = 8 − 2 = 6. It follows that at 𝛼 = 0.2, the critical


values are ±1.440. Thus, the rejection region lies at 𝑡 > 1.440 or 𝑡 < −1.440.

Let us solve for the test statistic value.

𝑛−2
𝑡 = 𝑟√
1 − 𝑟2

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Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

8−2
𝑡 = 0.561√
1 − (0.561)2

𝑡 = 1.660

Since 𝑡 = 1.660 > 1.440, it lies in the rejection region. Thus, we reject 𝐻0 . Therefore,
we say that there is a significant relationship between the independent variable
and the dependent variable.

4. Find the equation of the regression line.

The regression line is expressed as 𝑌 = 𝑏𝑋 + 𝑎. Solve for the values of 𝑎 and 𝑏.

(∑𝑌)(∑𝑋 2 ) − (∑𝑋)(∑𝑋𝑌)
𝑎=
𝑛(∑𝑋 2 ) − (∑𝑋)2
128 ⋅ 4414 − 186 ⋅ 3006
𝑎=
8 ⋅ 4414 − (186)2
𝑎 = 8.207

𝑛(∑𝑋𝑌) − (∑𝑋)(∑𝑌)
𝑏=
𝑛(∑𝑋 2 ) − (∑𝑋)2
8 ⋅ 3 006 − 186 ⋅ 128
𝑏=
8 ⋅ 4 414 − (186)2
𝑏 = 0.335

Therefore, the equation of the regression line is 𝑌 = 0.335𝑥 + 8.207.

5. Determine the coefficient of determination.

The coefficient of determination shows how certain the regression line can predict
the value of 𝑌 given a value of 𝑋. It can be solved using 𝑟 2 . Since the correlation
coefficient is 𝑟 = 0.561, we can solve the coefficient of determination.
13
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

𝑟 2 = (0.561)2
𝑟 2 = 0.3147

Since 𝒓𝟐 = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟏𝟒𝟕, the predicted value 𝑌 from the regression line 𝒀 = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟑𝟓𝒙 +
𝟖. 𝟐𝟎𝟕 has a 31.47% certainty.

C. Practice & Feedback


For Individual Practice
1. Ask the students to answer the following problem items individually using pen
and paper.
2. Give students enough time to answer the problem items.
3. Call a random student to show his or her work on the board afterward.
4. Let the student share how he or she comes up with his or her solution.
5. Inform the student of the accuracy of his answer and solution, and in the case
when there is some sort of misconception, lead the student in the right
direction to find the correct answer.

Problem 1
The correlation coefficient 𝑟 between an independent variable 𝑋 and a dependent
variable 𝑌 is 𝑟 = 0.95. Determine how certain 𝑌 can be predicted from 𝑋 in the
regression line.

Solution:
To determine how certain we can predict the dependent variable from the
independent variable, we obtain the coefficient of determination. Since the value of
the correlation coefficient is 𝑟 = 0.95, we can solve the coefficient of determination by
taking its square.
14
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

𝑟 2 = (0.95)2
𝑟 2 = 0.9025

Thus, there is a 90.25% certainty that we can predict the correct value of 𝑌 from a
given value of 𝑋 using the regression line.

Problem 2
Test the significance of the correlation coefficient 𝑟 = 0.62 of an independent variable
𝑋 and a dependent variable 𝑌 at 𝛼 = 0.05. The sample size is 𝑛 = 10.

Solution:
1. State the null and the alternative hypotheses.

𝐻0 : There is no significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

𝐻𝐴 : There is a significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

2. State the decision rule.

The test is two-tailed. Since 𝑛 = 10, the degrees of freedom is 𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛 − 2 = 10 −


2 = 8. We obtain the critical values using the 𝑡-table. At α = 0.05, the critical values
are ±2.306. Thus, the rejection region lies at 𝑡 > 2.306 or 𝑡 < −2.306.

3. Solve for the test statistic value.

15
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

𝑛−2
𝑡 = 𝑟√
1 − 𝑟2

10 − 2
𝑡 = (0.62)√
1 − (0.62)2

𝑡 = 2.235

4. Make the decision.

Since 𝑡 = 2.235 < 2.306, it does not lie in the rejection region. Thus, we fail to
reject 𝐻0 .

5. State the conclusion.

There is no significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and the


dependent variable 𝑌.

Problem 3
Eliza is going to perform a regression analysis on her collected data. She obtained a
correlation coefficient 𝑟 = 0.261 from the data that she took from a sample of size 26.
Is there a significant relationship between the two variables that she has at 𝛼 = 0.01?

Solution:
1. State the null and the alternative hypotheses.

𝐻0 : There is no significant relationship between the two variables.

𝐻𝐴 : There is a significant relationship between the two variables.

16
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

2. State the decision rule.

The test is two-tailed. Since 𝑛 = 26, the degrees of freedom is 𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛 − 2 = 26 −


2 = 24. We obtain the critical values using the 𝑡-table. At α = 0.05, the critical values
are ±2.797. Thus, the rejection region lies at 𝑡 > 2.797 or 𝑡 < −2.797.

3. Solve for the test statistic value.

𝑛−2
𝑡 = 𝑟√
1 − 𝑟2

26 − 2
𝑡 = (0.261)√
1 − (0.261)2

𝑡 = 1.325

4. Make the decision.

Since 𝑡 = 1.325 < 2.797, it does not lie in the rejection region. Thus, we fail to
reject 𝐻0 .

5. State the conclusion.

There is no significant relationship between the two variables.

For Group Practice


1. Ask the students to form a minimum of two groups to a maximum of five groups.
2. Each group will answer problem items 4 and 5. These questions are meant to test
students’ higher-order thinking skills by working collaboratively with their peers.
3. Give students enough time to analyze the problem and work on their solution.

17
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

4. Ask each group to assign a representative to show their solution on the board and
discuss as a group how they come up with their solution.
5. Inform the student of the accuracy of his answer and solution, and in the case
when there is some sort of misconception, give the student opportunity to work
with his/her peers to re-analyze the problem and then lead them in the right
direction to find the correct answer.

Problem 4
Test the significance of the correlation coefficient 𝑟 = 0.43 of an independent variable
𝑋 and a dependent variable 𝑌 at 𝛼 = 0.05. The sample size is 𝑛 = 10.

Solution:
1. State the null and the alternative hypotheses.

𝐻0 : There is no significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

𝐻𝐴 : There is a significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and


the dependent variable 𝑌.

2. State the decision rule.

The test is two-tailed. Since 𝑛 = 10, the degrees of freedom is 𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛 − 2 = 10 −


2 = 8. We obtain the critical values using the 𝑡-table. At α = 0.05, the critical
values are ±2.306. Thus, the rejection region lies at 𝑡 > 2.306 or 𝑡 < −2.306.

3. Solve for the test statistic value.

18
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

𝑛−2
𝑡 = 𝑟√
1 − 𝑟2

10 − 2
𝑡 = (0.43)√
1 − (0.43)2

𝑡 = 1.347

4. Make the decision.

Since 𝑡 = 1.347 < 2.306, it does not lie in the rejection region. Thus, we fail to
reject 𝐻0 .

5. State the conclusion.

There is no significant relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and the


dependent variable 𝑌.

Problem 5
Perform a regression analysis on the following data at 𝛼 = 0.05. Assume that 𝑋 is the
independent variable and 𝑌 is the dependent variable.

𝑿 𝒀
14 9
15 10
19 7
23 9
20 8
21 9

19
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

17 8
24 11

Solution:
1. Determine the dependent and the independent variables.

It is given that 𝑋 is the independent variable and 𝑌 is the dependent variable.

2. Solve for the correlation coefficient 𝑟.

Use the formula to solve for 𝑟.

𝑿 𝒀 𝑿𝟐 𝒀𝟐 𝑿𝒀
14 9 196 81 126
15 10 225 100 150
19 7 361 49 133
23 9 529 81 207
20 8 400 64 160
21 9 441 81 189
17 8 289 64 136
24 11 576 121 264
∑𝑋 = 153 ∑𝑌 = 71 ∑𝑋 2 = 3 017 ∑𝑌 2 = 641 ∑𝑋𝑌 = 1 365

𝑛∑𝑋𝑌 − (∑𝑋)(∑𝑌)
𝑟=
√[𝑛∑𝑋 2 − (∑𝑋)2 ][𝑛∑𝑌 2 − (∑𝑌)2 ]
8 ⋅ 1 365 − (153)(71)
𝑟=
√[8 ⋅ 3 017 − (153)2 ][8 ⋅ 641 − (71)2 ]
𝑟 = 0.227

20
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Thus, the correlation coefficient 𝑟 is 0.227.

3. Test the significance of the correlation coefficient.

Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses.

𝐻0 : There is no relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and the dependent


variable 𝑌.

𝐻𝐴 : There is a relationship between the independent variable 𝑋 and the dependent


variable 𝑌.

Since 𝑛 = 8, we have 𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛 − 2 = 8 − 2 = 6. It follows that at 𝛼 = 0.05, the critical


values are ±2.447. Thus, the rejection region lies at 𝑡 > 2.447 or 𝑡 < −2.447.

Let us solve for the test statistic value.

𝑛−2
𝑡 = 𝑟√
1 − 𝑟2

8−2
𝑡 = 0.227√
1 − (0.227)2

𝑡 = 0.571

Since 𝑡 = 0.571 < 2.447, it does not lie in the rejection region. Thus, we failed to reject
the null hypothesis. It follows that there is no significant relationship between the
independent variable and the dependent variable.

21
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Performance Assessment
This performance assessment serves as a formative assessment, divided into three sets
based on the student's level of learning. Click on the link provided on the lesson page to
access each worksheet.

● Worksheet I (for beginners)


● Worksheet II (for average learners)
● Worksheet III (for advanced learners)

Teacher’s Notes
For a standard performance assessment, regardless of the student's level of learning,
you may give the problem items provided in the Check Your Understanding section of
the study guide.

22
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Worksheet Answer Key

Worksheet I

A.
1. 4.41%
2. 33.64%
3. 38.44%
4. 8.41%
5. 14.44%

B.
1. 𝑑𝑓 = 10
Rejection region: 𝑡 < −3.169, 𝑡 > 3.169
𝑡 = 1.068
failed to reject 𝐻0

2. 𝑑𝑓 = 8
Rejection region: 𝑡 < −2.306, 𝑡 > 2.306
𝑡 = 2.419
reject 𝐻0

3. 𝑑𝑓 = 13
Rejection region: 𝑡 < −2.160, 𝑡 > 2.160
𝑡 = 4.351
reject 𝐻0

23
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Worksheet II

A.
1. 𝑑𝑓 = 13
Rejection region: 𝑡 < −2.160, 𝑡 > 2.160
𝑡 = 1.347
failed to reject 𝐻0

2. 𝑑𝑓 = 8
Rejection region: 𝑡 < −3.355, 𝑡 > 3.355
𝑡 = 1.863
failed to reject 𝐻𝑜

3. 𝑑𝑓 = 10
Rejection region: 𝑡 < −2.228, 𝑡 > 2.228
𝑡 = 4.706
reject 𝐻0

B.
𝑿 𝒀 𝑿𝟐 𝒀𝟐 𝑿𝒀
24 21 576 441 504
20 42 400 1 764 840
30 34 900 1 156 1 020
48 29 2 304 841 1 392
56 46 3 136 2 116 2 576
∑𝑋 = 178 ∑𝑌 = 172 ∑𝑋 2 = 7316 ∑𝑌 2 = 6 318 ∑𝑋𝑌 = 6 332

𝑟 = 0.333
𝑎 = 26.809

24
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

𝑏 = 0.213
𝑌 = 0.213𝑋 + 26.809

Worksheet III

A.
1. 𝑑𝑓 = 6
Rejection region: 𝑡 < −2.447, 𝑡 > 2.447
𝑡 = 1.234
failed to reject 𝐻0

2. 𝑑𝑓 = 8
Rejection region: 𝑡 < 2.306, 𝑡 > 2.306
𝑡 = 2.067
failed to reject 𝐻0

B.
1.
𝑿 𝒀 𝑿𝟐 𝒀𝟐 𝑿𝒀
24 51 576 2 601 1 224
30 42 900 1 764 1 260
40 44 1 600 1 936 1 760
48 59 2 304 3 481 2 832
60 66 3 600 4 356 3 960
∑𝑋 = 202 ∑𝑌 = 262 ∑𝑋 2 = 8 980 ∑𝑌 2 = 14 138 ∑𝑋𝑌 = 11 036

𝑟 = 0.779
𝑎 = 30.148
𝑏 = 0.551
𝑌 = 0.551𝑋 + 30.148
25
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

2.

𝑿 𝒀 𝑿𝟐 𝒀𝟐 𝑿𝒀
25 41 625 1 681 1 025
30 34 900 1 156 1 020
40 42 1 600 1 764 1 680
38 34 1 444 1 156 1 292
44 29 1 936 841 1 276
27 43 729 1 849 1 161
36 54 1 296 2 916 1 944
∑𝑋 = 240 ∑𝑌 = 277 ∑𝑋 2 = 8 530 ∑𝑌 2 = 11 363 ∑𝑋𝑌 = 9 398

𝑟 = −0.285
𝑎 = 50.848
𝑏 = −0.329
𝑌 = −0.329𝑋 + 50.848

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Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

Synthesis

Wrap-up To summarize the lesson, ask students the following questions:


1. How do you determine the regression line of two variables?
2. How do you test the significance of the correlation
coefficient between two variables?

Application and To integrate values and build a connection to the real world, ask
Values Integration students the following questions:
1. In research, when is it important to know the best line that
would represent a set of data?
2. Why do you think variables need to have a significant
correlation before finding their regression line?

Bridge to the Next To spark interest for the next lesson, ask students the following
Topic questions:
1. What does it mean when a line has a negative slope?
Positive slope?
2. What does it mean when a set of data forms a straight line?

Bibliography

Foley, Ben. “What is Regression Analysis and Why Should I Use It?” Surveygizmo. Retrieved
17 September 2019 from https://bit.ly/2XAyMC4.

Glen, Stephanie. “Regression Analysis: Step by Step Articles, Videos, Simple Definitions.”
Statistics How To. Retrieved 17 September 2019 from

27
Grade 11 • Unit 19: The Regression Line

https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/regression-analysis/.

Lumen Learning. “The Regression Line.” Retrieved 17 September 2019 from


https://bit.ly/2lTSEmk.

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