Anonymous asked: How do you feel about the invasion of Venezuela?
Anonymous asked: So…we just attacked Venezuela and apparently captured their leader and his wife. What happens now?
Anonymous asked: So…we just attacked Venezuela and apparently captured their leader and his wife. What happens now?
cle-guy asked: Thoughts on the U.S. arresting Maduro?
jamescagney22 asked: Uhh... it looks like Trump ordered an operation to capture Maduro and succeeded. What do you think this means for Venezuela?
Anonymous asked: Now that Maduro seems to have been shown the door, what's the likely future for Venezuela? A military take-over? An installation of Juan Guaidó? Haiti-style anarchy? All of the above?
Yeah, I figured folks were going to ask about this one.
Let's not kid ourselves, Maduro was a tyrant who got a lot of his people killed pursuing his stupid policies. His people starved while he feasted, and he ignored two elections to continue to loot the country. Anyone crowing about a sovereign head of state being invaded is a liar or a fool, and far more likely to the former than the latter - the man was illegitimate. The people that glazed him Chavez and Maduro over the decades cheerily turned a blind eye because it allowed them to pretend that their failures could actually succeed, no matter how many it killed, need to be put on blast.
The operation, from what little we know, looked to have been run by the numbers. No reports of US casualties, so this was almost certainly prepared and run through with exceptional skill from start-to-finish. Rumor mill has been going off as to exactly how this op was done so masterfully. So of course, the meme is that the United States has shown Russia how to actually run a "special military operation."
However, an op like that is the relatively easy part. A failure to consolidate and establish an effective government will be difficult - the country could devolve into a civil war or descend into anarchy with armed groups taking control in the vacuum that follows. We've already seen the Venezuelan VP, Delcy Rodriguez, tell Trump that she was going to act as a partner only to rebuke him two hours later and say that Maduro is a legitimate president. As others in Maduro's government have survived, including key allies like the defense and interior minister, this suggests Maduro-loyalists have enough power to form a leadership cadre and are unlikely to cede power to the opposition or National Assembly. So congratulations to Trump, I guess, for managing to win over neither side.
That suggests that any form of nation-building or any attempt for the pro-democracy opposition to secure power will be likewise handled in Trump's trademark incompetent and careless fashion. So I really hope this doesn't descend into another Iraq.
Thanks for the question, everyone.
SomethingLikeALawyer, Hand of the King